The recent movement of Russian
troops into the Crimea got me thinking about how history repeats itself. It
reminded me not only of how the Russians moved into the Georgian providences of
Abkhazia and South Ossetia in 2008, but also of how the Germans effortlessly occupied
Austria and Czechoslovakia in 1938 and 1939. During each of these “actions,”
the aggressor country’s reasoning have been the same—to protect their borders
and their native people in the region. And during each of these expansions, the
rest of the world stood by doing little or nothing. This ineptitude of world
leaders to react to obvious warnings has only encouraged egomaniacs like Hitler
and Putin to continue their aggression and expansions. When Poland refused to
return Danzig and the Polish Corridor in 1939, Germany staged a fake Polish
incident and attacked Poland, starting World War II. Does anyone really believe
Putin will stop in Crimea? What’s going to happen when Russia uses force to
take over Ukraine?
And is Putin’s way of thinking so
different than Hitler’s? The 1919 Treaty of Versailles not only officially ended
World War I, it humiliated Germany and ruined its economy. Hitler used this national
humiliation, and the restoration of German pride, to come to power. Corruption
and the cost of the Cold War helped lead to the dissolution of the Soviet Union
in 1991. Many Russians now express national humiliation over this downfall,
particularly in the way Americans boast of being the greatest country. Some are
even looking back at Stalin’s reign of terror with favor. Now Putin is striving
to return Russian pride—to show the world they’re the best. Spending
fifty-billion dollars on the Olympics is an example of this. Wasn’t this one of
Hitler’s primary goals while holding the 1936 Olympics in Berlin? And while
Putin can hardly be compared to Hitler when it comes to human atrocities, his
position on civil rights isn’t exactly liberal. Political and gay activists are
jailed. Even Hitler’s position on social enemies of the state, while published
in Mein Kampf, wasn’t truly realized
by even the Germans in his early years in power. What will happen to the “rebels”
that stand against Putin in Crimea and Ukraine?
But Putin’s actions, similar to
Hitler’s prior to the onset of WWII, are only part of the problem. Too
terrified to antagonize Hitler, world leaders did little to deter him. They were
pacified, blinded, by Hitler’s lies that he had no interests in world
domination. What have world leaders done to stop Putin? Obama has made vague
and idle threats. He’s made it very public that he’s negotiating with Putin on
the phone—something that appears more to save his political skin than an
effective tactic. The U. S. and the European Union have threatened economic
sanctions against Russia. This tactic might seriously undermine the Russian
economy, but so far, these threats haven’t been carried out. What’s more,
economic sanctions could backfire. History gives us another lesson.
In 1937, the Japanese invaded China,
saying they lacked the material wealth to support their economic growth. Their
invasion continued despite attempts by the British and the United States to
arrive at a diplomatic solution. As a result, the Roosevelt administration
cooperated with the British to impose increasingly stringent economic sanctions
on Japan. The strategy backfired. Not only did the Japanese continue their
expansion efforts, they attacked Pearl Harbor, throwing the United State into
WWII. In one of his biggest mistakes, Hitler declared war on the United States
just four days later. The result was the most devastating war in world history.
So can we trust Obama and Putin to
arrive at a diplomatic solution to the Ukraine crisis? Vladimir Putin has
proven himself to be a man of tremendous ego—willing to do anything to restore
Russian pride and regain former Soviet territories. That’s the kind of
mentality that doesn’t back down when threatened into a corner. Barack Obama
has a long history of weak foreign policy—some say worse than Jimmy Carter’s.
From Egypt and Syria to North Korea, the United States has done little or
nothing to resolve world threats. Other world leaders recognize this weakness
in leadership. Obviously, Putin does as well. One commentator wrote: “Putin is
playing chess, while Obama is playing marbles.” In more simple terms. Obama is
outmatched. Russia is not going to back down in the Ukraine.
So what if Russia uses force in
Ukraine? At best, we’re looking at a new Cold War. That means renewed tensions
and military buildups in a world that’s already facing enough problems. At
worse, we could be facing armed conflicts that could lead to all-out war. Can
the human race survive another world war—one that results in a nuclear holocaust?